PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StevenHuo

0xe57f6450a15807ec206c49596b34f74277def13d

Realised P&L
$-239.35
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$71.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0770.058$20.66$6.94
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7400.815$11.01+$1.01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.895$10.91+$0.91
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4700.245$9.80$9.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.605$6.05+$0.95
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$3.09$1.91
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.525$2.63+$0.42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.260$2.60$1.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.6000.165$1.65$4.35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1000.131$1.30+$0.30
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.7700.225$1.13$2.73
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2100.155$0.74$0.26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2000.013$0.34$4.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.1860.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL0.97$2.42
08-27 12:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.8$2.00
08-27 12:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL0.32$1.10
08-27 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5799999014$2.00
08-27 12:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL0.9198265347$23.23
08-27 12:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.99$25.00
08-27 12:10Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.959$9.59
08-27 12:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.962$9.62
08-27 12:10Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?SELL0.969$9.69
08-27 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.7$1.89
08-27 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.7399997262$2.00
08-27 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSELL0.2$0.55
08-27 12:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-27 11:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.2199999531$3.00
08-27 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.65$3.00