PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kgrjbuo

0xe544bc4b0d8a3c859f990033b1d2991422683028

Realised P&L
$-787.53
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.775$325.50+$56.70
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8600.982$314.08+$38.88
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5920.497$223.88$42.52
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$175.50$175.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 09:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$351.00
06-22 07:59Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.741$185.25
05-28 01:51Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.094$188.00
05-21 09:33Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?SELL0.92$255.75
05-21 09:32Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?SELL0.93$27.90
05-19 09:47Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.9$288.00
05-07 02:00Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.86$77.40
04-27 08:32Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.78$936.00
04-16 03:07Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.276$16.01
04-11 09:31Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.725$544.00
01-22 07:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22?BUY0.08$301.12