shine
0xe4cfbb89c05d3429280c69969aee2cfb7a4678c4
- Realised P&L
- $71.5k
- Volume
- $8.43M
- Markets traded
- 22,731
- Open portfolio
- $29.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded22,731
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.578Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$6.3kat 0.007Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$4.3kat 0.250Pirates vs. Phillies
- +$4.1kat 0.187Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$3.9kat 0.651Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 19:43 | Al-Sailiya SC vs. Al Arabi Doha SC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.66 | $3.96 |
| 09-03 19:42 | Al-Sailiya SC vs. Al Arabi Doha SC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7485915493 | $53.15 |
| 09-03 19:40 | Al-Sailiya SC vs. Al Arabi Doha SC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4747726702 | $56.70 |
| 04-12 05:18 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 03-31 08:13 | Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.908 | $27.24 |
| 03-31 06:25 | Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.982 | $9.54 |
| 03-31 06:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.22 |
| 03-31 05:40 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999696 | $5.93 |
| 03-31 05:40 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $29.49 |
| 03-31 05:40 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 03-31 05:40 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.41 |
| 03-31 04:29 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999246 | $2.06 |
| 03-31 04:29 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.80 |
| 03-31 04:29 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $29.31 |
| 03-31 04:29 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |