makemoney2025
0xe3a1094b08b7be604181a97d386677c85fbf3c87
- Realised P&L
- $19.8k
- Volume
- $1.71M
- Markets traded
- 1,218
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,218
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.2kat 0.469Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.829Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.817Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.790Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$950.39at 0.766US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $405.92 |
| 10-22 09:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6869418607 | $291.72 |
| 10-12 09:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $62.64 |
| 10-12 09:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $203.04 |
| 09-28 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.9005219901 | $489.78 |
| 09-28 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.4k |
| 09-28 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $64.35 |
| 09-28 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9691017 | $1.9k |
| 09-28 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.4k |
| 09-28 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $891.00 |
| 09-28 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-28 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-24 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9654949935 | $965.21 |
| 09-24 03:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $3.3k |
| 09-23 08:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $413.18 |