PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

makemoney2025

0xe3a1094b08b7be604181a97d386677c85fbf3c87

Realised P&L
$19.8k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
1,218
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,218
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.8950.961$2.8k+$194.51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8440.825$1.9k−$43.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7850.115$679.35−$4.0k
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.8120.765$543.49−$32.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? · Yes0.6830.670$499.74−$10.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.705$423.00+$3.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.4680.515$273.98+$24.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.125$131.00−$26.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.525$105.00+$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2050.275$61.88+$15.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? · Yes0.4000.405$10.11+$0.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.7430.000$0.00−$111.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5150.000$0.00−$51.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.5650.000$0.00−$27.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 01:19Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.86$405.92
10-22 09:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?BUY0.6869418607$291.72
10-12 09:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$62.64
10-12 09:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?BUY0.47$203.04
09-28 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSELL0.9005219901$489.78
09-28 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.99$1.4k
09-28 09:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.99$64.35
09-28 08:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.9691017$1.9k
09-28 08:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.98$1.4k
09-28 05:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.99$891.00
09-28 02:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSELL0.96$24.00
09-28 02:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.81$16.20
09-24 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.9654949935$965.21
09-24 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.99$3.3k
09-23 08:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.97$413.18