PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HyperPoor

0xe3282069bf386acedfa36e283826d8a362159f4a

Realised P&L
$-10.8k
Volume
$5.07M
Markets traded
5,790
Open portfolio
$113.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,790
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9100.739$4.06$0.94
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.8700.870$4.00+$0.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.198$3.96$1.04
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9400.895$3.81$0.19
Glean IPO before 2027? · No0.7900.984$3.73+$0.73
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.745$3.27$0.73
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.7900.635$3.22$0.78
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8100.625$3.09$0.91
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · No0.9750.997$3.07+$0.07
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8900.680$3.06$0.94
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9650.974$3.03+$0.03
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9700.971$3.00+$0.00
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.7900.790$3.00+$0.00
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9890.983$2.98$0.02
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9840.976$2.97$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:11Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.89$3.75
09-02 11:10Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?SELL0.041$3.46
09-02 11:09Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.957$3.88
09-02 11:09Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.956$3.93
09-02 11:09Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.983$3.97
09-02 11:08Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$3.85
09-02 11:08Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?SELL0.83$3.95
09-02 11:08US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.952$3.96
09-02 11:07Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.997$4.01
09-02 11:07Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.962$4.09
09-02 11:07Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.66$3.47
09-02 11:06Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?SELL0.975$4.14
09-02 11:06Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.953$4.79
09-02 11:06Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.94$4.76
09-02 11:06Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.837$4.33