PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HyperPoor

0xe3282069bf386acedfa36e283826d8a362159f4a

Realised P&L
$-11.7k
Volume
$5.00M
Markets traded
5,790
Open portfolio
$91.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,790
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9400.912$3.88−$0.12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.875$3.85−$0.15
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.8700.835$3.84−$0.16
Glean IPO before 2027? · No0.7900.966$3.67+$0.67
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.7900.670$3.39−$0.61
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.650$3.38−$0.62
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.7900.850$3.23+$0.23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · No0.9750.996$3.06+$0.06
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9650.974$3.03+$0.03
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9840.984$3.00−$0.00
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9690.966$2.99−$0.01
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9890.984$2.98−$0.02
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9700.962$2.97−$0.03
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9100.445$2.93−$3.07
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Up0.6000.570$2.85−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:11Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.89$3.75
09-02 11:10Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?SELL0.041$3.46
09-02 11:09Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.957$3.88
09-02 11:09Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.956$3.93
09-02 11:09Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.983$3.97
09-02 11:08Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$3.85
09-02 11:08Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?SELL0.83$3.95
09-02 11:08US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.952$3.96
09-02 11:07Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.997$4.01
09-02 11:07Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.962$4.09
09-02 11:07Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.66$3.47
09-02 11:06Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?SELL0.975$4.14
09-02 11:06Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.953$4.79
09-02 11:06Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.94$4.76
09-02 11:06Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.837$4.33