PolyBot

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Traders

senseless17

0xe2eedd8c3b0668dc19757c314ea41dfaa5c760b8

Realised P&L
$638.15
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$737.23

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.4800.775$48.44+$18.44
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.5170.855$47.65+$18.82
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6280.690$42.83+$3.83
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.5700.765$40.26+$10.26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8400.967$34.54+$4.54
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3350.965$34.52+$22.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.785$31.40+$9.40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.4700.855$29.11+$13.11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.285$24.61+$5.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.855$22.21+$2.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4900.825$22.04+$8.95
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.325$19.90$10.10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7180.515$19.38$7.62
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6000.475$19.00$5.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7100.895$18.91+$3.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 15:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$13.17
09-03 03:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999702$3.00
09-02 11:38Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2899999853$12.00
09-02 11:37Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$13.02
09-01 13:04Fremantle Dockers vs. Hawthorn HawksBUY0.6862744937$10.00
08-17 05:04Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999989$23.00
08-17 05:03Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?SELL0.8892936803$9.57
08-17 05:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$4.46
08-17 05:03Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$5.13
08-17 05:02Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.93$3.75
08-16 10:14Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$16.00
08-14 12:13Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8399999843$30.00
08-12 02:37Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.5$9.00
08-12 02:36US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.968$9.48
08-10 08:50Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999595$5.00