senseless17
0xe2eedd8c3b0668dc19757c314ea41dfaa5c760b8
- Realised P&L
- $638.15
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $737.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.17at 0.580Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
- +$56.50at 0.250Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$55.28at 0.367Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$46.46at 0.410Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
- +$45.17at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 15:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.17 |
| 09-03 03:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 11:38 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999853 | $12.00 |
| 09-02 11:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $13.02 |
| 09-01 13:04 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Hawthorn Hawks | BUY | 0.6862744937 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 05:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999989 | $23.00 |
| 08-17 05:03 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.8892936803 | $9.57 |
| 08-17 05:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.46 |
| 08-17 05:03 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.13 |
| 08-17 05:02 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.75 |
| 08-16 10:14 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $16.00 |
| 08-14 12:13 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999843 | $30.00 |
| 08-12 02:37 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 08-12 02:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.48 |
| 08-10 08:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |