PolyBot

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Traders

0xe118468a4c2f5a22f6487e142d25f529d149c5a4

0xe118468a4c2f5a22f6487e142d25f529d149c5a4

Realised P&L
$-41.13
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$57.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.2470.210$8.09−$1.43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.335$6.32−$3.68
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? · Yes0.3100.310$5.00+$0.00
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1500.150$5.00+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2800.245$4.38−$0.62
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.4750.360$3.79−$1.21
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4900.545$3.34+$0.34
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2830.308$3.27+$0.27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0600.055$2.75−$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6370.345$2.71−$2.29
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1610.675$2.60+$1.98
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes0.5000.380$2.28−$0.72
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1620.273$2.06+$0.84
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1200.075$1.88−$1.13
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.4300.265$1.85−$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 14:28Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.2829999924$3.00
09-30 13:04Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3099999793$3.00
09-28 03:37Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.72$2.76
09-27 11:57No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999984$3.00
09-26 06:03Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
09-26 05:48Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.229999987$3.00
09-26 05:25Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.5$3.00
09-26 05:25Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-26 05:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.004$0.50
09-25 16:20Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?SELL0.06$0.63
09-25 16:18Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?SELL0.7078317536$11.95
09-25 06:17Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?SELL0.82$2.03
09-25 06:13Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.4749999905$5.00
09-25 05:33Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-25 05:24Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?BUY0.5922892352$10.00