jk345a6bsdk
0xdf6cafedd729f199bb0e88ecb8d5bbff19ebeb44
- Realised P&L
- $11.9k
- Volume
- $441.0k
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $10.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.059Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$1.3kat 0.210Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$932.22at 0.606Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$676.15at 0.556US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$571.99at 0.276Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:12 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 09-17 20:11 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.28 | $269.59 |
| 09-17 19:56 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.416 | $13.51 |
| 09-17 19:52 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.4586418816 | $332.47 |
| 09-17 06:34 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $25.90 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $553.00 |
| 09-16 06:35 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1747237199 | $19.31 |
| 09-16 06:33 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 15:53 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.7930416667 | $951.65 |
| 09-10 16:51 | Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.8029628333 | $481.78 |
| 09-10 16:20 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.059 | $12.73 |
| 09-10 16:19 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.27 | $67.50 |
| 09-10 16:19 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $117.50 |