yingxer
0xded8a46ee5fa25b550689176ab7c58c2d44eca0f
- Realised P&L
- $74.3k
- Volume
- $2.78M
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $331.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.6kat 0.866Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$7.9kat 0.983Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$5.4kat 0.974Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$3.9kat 0.928Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$1.9kat 0.987Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:51 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.8k |
| 09-17 05:33 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $4.4k |
| 09-17 04:19 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $864.00 |
| 09-16 22:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $2.7k |
| 09-16 22:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $357.02 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $2.8k |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $382.80 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $688.00 |
| 09-16 17:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.3k |
| 09-16 17:18 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9501294284 | $7.9k |
| 09-16 17:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $16.8k |
| 09-16 15:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.954 | $12.0k |
| 09-16 12:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $16.9k |
| 09-16 12:17 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 10:49 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.957 | $8.9k |