ausbet
0xdde7f1e4a512e483f822000ae246fd8f5a19ca8b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $904.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.81at 0.245Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$45.89at 0.325Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$41.95at 0.608Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$38.00at 0.240Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
- +$33.12at 0.150Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 03:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 06-04 14:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.18 | $2.33 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 05-22 21:03 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $78.00 |
| 05-21 10:13 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 05-18 22:17 | Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.0789999769 | $3.00 |
| 04-21 11:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $27.81 |
| 04-21 11:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.28 | $18.47 |
| 04-19 06:11 | Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 04-07 14:32 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 04-06 09:34 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 04-06 09:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 04-06 09:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 04-06 09:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.27 | $12.71 |
| 04-06 09:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY | 0.0529999838 | $2.77 |