PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ausbet

0xdde7f1e4a512e483f822000ae246fd8f5a19ca8b

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$22.4k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$904.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1610.055$562.65$1.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3900.595$71.40+$24.60
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1930.105$61.95$52.05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.575$57.50+$22.50
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? · Yes0.5000.265$39.75$35.25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4780.165$26.40$50.10
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.1700.890$26.19+$21.19
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1700.043$19.98$59.92
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.046$13.48$27.11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4500.305$9.15$4.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1860.041$6.23$22.07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.026$4.50$11.79
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0040.003$3.27$1.97
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1800.105$1.36$0.97
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.029$0.57$2.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 03:20Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
06-04 14:002026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.18$2.33
05-25 17:50Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.11$22.00
05-22 21:03Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$78.00
05-21 10:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$30.00
05-18 22:17Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?BUY0.0789999769$3.00
04-21 11:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.28$27.81
04-21 11:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY0.28$18.47
04-19 06:11Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?BUY0.59$35.40
04-07 14:32Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.12$6.00
04-06 09:34Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.24$4.80
04-06 09:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.56$16.80
04-06 09:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.56$5.60
04-06 09:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.27$12.71
04-06 09:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?BUY0.0529999838$2.77