Pretender1
0xdd424df03f0558e2be66760f8b1179733ec9c497
- Realised P&L
- $-42.34
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $167.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.240Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$20.21at 0.324Will "Champions (IShowSpeed)" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
- +$19.59at 0.310Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?
- +$17.82at 0.0100 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$12.32at 0.431Will John Healey be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.85 |
| 08-04 18:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.73 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5984008388 | $9.99 |
| 08-04 17:47 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.70 |
| 08-04 17:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.83 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 17:36 | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.1851434903 | $6.68 |
| 08-04 16:03 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | SELL | 0.093 | $2.52 |
| 08-04 16:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4532073094 | $7.19 |
| 08-04 15:50 | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.276 | $9.96 |
| 08-04 15:41 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.3452114391 | $9.36 |
| 08-04 15:33 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.98 |
| 08-04 15:22 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.07 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $9.76 |