Pretender1
0xdd424df03f0558e2be66760f8b1179733ec9c497
- Realised P&L
- $-153.60
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $176.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.240Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$20.21at 0.324Will "Champions (IShowSpeed)" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
- +$19.59at 0.310Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?
- +$17.83at 0.0100 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$12.32at 0.431Will John Healey be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 17:25 | Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.51 | $9.97 |
| 08-16 15:52 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2472079701 | $9.93 |
| 08-16 15:01 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.2879162791 | $9.29 |
| 08-16 13:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.28 |
| 08-16 13:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.167 | $9.43 |
| 08-16 13:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.98 |
| 08-16 13:06 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.176 | $9.94 |
| 08-16 10:09 | Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.1481821946 | $7.16 |
| 08-16 09:30 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5061050442 | $9.73 |
| 08-16 08:10 | Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.84 |
| 08-15 20:57 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $9.76 |
| 08-15 20:28 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-15 16:54 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.41 | $9.76 |
| 08-15 16:54 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.78 |
| 08-15 14:16 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $9.85 |