stravid
0xdc65081231d30a2f38aeb8875fb1ae7123f8e355
- Realised P&L
- $-242.69
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $283.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.33at 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$146.98at 0.579Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$78.07at 0.204US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$59.53at 0.630Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$42.03at 0.878Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.44 |
| 09-14 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.89 | $92.56 |
| 09-09 20:14 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2858163415 | $23.44 |
| 09-09 20:12 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $53.30 |
| 09-08 15:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.81 | $51.84 |
| 09-07 18:42 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.79 | $28.44 |
| 09-07 18:41 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.32 |
| 09-07 14:09 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $24.86 |
| 09-05 13:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.996 | $71.33 |
| 08-31 14:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.8632980244 | $61.83 |
| 08-24 14:51 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.7967563583 | $13.51 |
| 08-24 12:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.24 |
| 08-21 14:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.7189999581 | $3.28 |
| 08-21 14:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 08-21 14:43 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.25 |