clipword1980
0xdc30628b2cbcea89db92feafb6e698e80a0fa0dc
- Realised P&L
- $-842.19
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $986.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.63at 0.727Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$26.37at 0.744Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 26?
- +$21.07at 0.897NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
- +$20.90at 0.850XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.05at 0.840Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:42 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 10:59 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $151.00 |
| 07-02 10:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 07-02 10:58 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9454185018 | $200.00 |
| 05-25 08:55 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9150146454 | $93.00 |
| 05-25 08:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $92.82 |
| 05-23 18:05 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6128237562 | $79.00 |
| 05-23 17:58 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3272476921 | $81.53 |
| 05-19 05:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $103.73 |
| 04-12 13:03 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.949999998 | $290.13 |
| 04-12 12:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $290.68 |
| 04-10 10:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9449553164 | $280.00 |
| 04-10 10:41 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $280.33 |
| 04-03 14:04 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.862963286 | $215.00 |
| 04-01 18:42 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999953 | $22.00 |