PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

clipword1980

0xdc30628b2cbcea89db92feafb6e698e80a0fa0dc

Realised P&L
$-842.19
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$986.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9240.945$249.48+$5.48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.955$214.61+$14.61
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9450.935$197.80$2.20
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.7630.920$120.51+$20.51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.958$114.22+$10.49
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.6830.929$57.11+$15.11
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.941$24.06+$2.06
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8100.979$4.89+$0.84
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.958$3.14+$0.14
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9400.935$0.99$0.01
Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1? · No0.9800.000$0.00$99.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1? · No0.9500.000$0.00$147.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2? · No0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 2? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$1.00
Will XRP reach $2.60 October 20-26? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:42Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.939999812$1.00
07-02 10:59China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9299999997$151.00
07-02 10:58Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$200.00
07-02 10:58China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9454185018$200.00
05-25 08:55China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9150146454$93.00
05-25 08:48Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.72$92.82
05-23 18:05Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6128237562$79.00
05-23 17:58Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.3272476921$81.53
05-19 05:39Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8699999993$103.73
04-12 13:03Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.949999998$290.13
04-12 12:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.981$290.68
04-10 10:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9449553164$280.00
04-10 10:41Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.57$280.33
04-03 14:04Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.862963286$215.00
04-01 18:42Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999953$22.00