MButts87
0xdbadbc55778d44643efabdde735e2f0b35d42429
- Realised P&L
- $204.92
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 559
- Open portfolio
- $86.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded559
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.25at 0.369Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$228.43at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$124.53at 0.295Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$119.66at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$105.97at 0.430Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5940594047 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 22:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5579999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 22:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1519999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 22:09 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 22:09 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 22:08 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.480392123 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 22:08 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:08 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |