0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413
0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $827.0k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $69.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.610Rangers vs. Lightning
- +$2.7kat 0.530Ducks vs. Predators
- +$2.3kat 0.500Packers vs. Lions
- +$2.0kat 0.560Cavaliers vs. Raptors
- +$2.0kat 0.600Avalanche vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:17 | GTA VI released before November 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $19.32 |
| 08-03 18:16 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.953 | $67.32 |
| 08-03 18:15 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $1.9k |
| 08-03 18:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-03 13:14 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $220.87 |
| 08-03 13:14 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 08-03 13:14 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $199.92 |
| 08-03 13:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.982 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 13:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $613.88 |
| 08-03 13:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.56 |
| 08-03 13:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $14.80 |
| 08-03 13:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $53.57 |
| 08-03 13:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $7.46 |
| 08-02 18:33 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 02:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.4k |