PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413

0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$894.5k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$87.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9500.978$8.6k+$240.49
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9790.997$6.9k+$121.09
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9130.945$6.2k+$207.75
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9480.979$5.8k+$179.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8750.968$5.7k+$541.88
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9380.973$5.4k+$190.73
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9360.982$5.2k+$240.28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.850$4.6k−$530.35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9480.955$4.2k+$30.98
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8820.963$3.4k+$283.24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9860.990$3.2k+$11.31
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9430.964$2.6k+$54.65
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9500.981$2.3k+$72.89
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.981$2.3k+$254.15
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9290.971$2.2k+$93.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 15:52Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.996$241.03
11-02 15:51Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.996$3.5k
11-02 15:48Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.992$505.92
11-02 15:46Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?BUY0.877$26.31
11-02 15:46US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.98$668.58
11-02 15:45US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.979$29.37
11-02 15:45US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.979$29.37
11-02 15:45US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.979$670.62
11-02 15:45US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.978$59.05
11-02 15:45GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.981$92.83
10-29 01:23Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.94$940.00
10-29 01:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.998$979.68
10-27 00:17Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$498.50
10-27 00:12Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$967.09
10-27 00:12Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.996$19.92