0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413
0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb
- Realised P&L
- $9.9k
- Volume
- $861.7k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $82.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.546Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom
- +$3.2kat 0.610Rangers vs. Lightning
- +$2.7kat 0.530Ducks vs. Predators
- +$2.3kat 0.500Packers vs. Lions
- +$2.0kat 0.560Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $697.20 |
| 09-16 21:39 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.91 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $806.76 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.2k |
| 09-13 18:34 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.00 |
| 09-13 18:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $605.73 |
| 09-07 22:06 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.5k |
| 09-07 22:04 | Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | BUY | 0.995 | $27.74 |
| 09-06 20:14 | Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-06 20:14 | Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 09-06 20:13 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.67 |
| 09-06 20:13 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $124.00 |
| 09-06 20:12 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $36.70 |
| 09-03 03:47 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.0k |
| 09-03 03:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.0k |