PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413

0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$827.0k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$69.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.9991.000$8.4k+$4.21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9470.955$6.4k+$53.24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8750.945$5.5k+$409.81
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9360.958$5.0k+$114.37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9460.962$4.9k+$83.47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9350.946$4.0k+$42.97
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9700.981$3.2k+$35.08
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9590.963$2.5k+$9.58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8920.910$2.2k+$44.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.961$2.2k+$208.15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9530.954$2.1k+$1.25
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9670.973$2.1k+$12.37
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9300.945$2.1k+$33.00
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9000.915$2.0k+$33.30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9990.999$2.0k+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:17GTA VI released before November 2026?BUY0.966$19.32
08-03 18:16Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.953$67.32
08-03 18:15Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.967$1.9k
08-03 18:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.999$2.0k
08-03 13:14Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.973$220.87
08-03 13:14Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.972$97.20
08-03 13:14Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9$199.92
08-03 13:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.982$1.1k
08-03 13:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.989$613.88
08-03 13:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.988$9.56
08-03 13:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.987$14.80
08-03 13:06Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.987$53.57
08-03 13:06Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.986$7.46
08-02 18:33Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.991$2.0k
08-02 02:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$8.4k