PolyBot

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Traders

0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413

0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb

Realised P&L
$9.9k
Volume
$861.7k
Markets traded
320
Open portfolio
$82.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded320
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9500.975$8.6k+$218.51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9480.972$5.7k+$138.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8750.954$5.6k+$459.70
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9380.958$5.3k+$107.54
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9360.966$5.1k+$153.72
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9720.995$4.8k+$109.62
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9781.000$4.4k+$94.51
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8940.990$3.4k+$324.20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8820.925$3.2k+$151.00
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9950.995$3.2k$1.62
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9590.978$3.1k+$59.20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9530.995$2.2k+$93.46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.962$2.2k+$210.45
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9950.997$2.1k+$2.89
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9300.955$2.1k+$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:30Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$697.20
09-16 21:39Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.954$4.91
09-16 21:38Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$806.76
09-16 21:38Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995$3.2k
09-13 18:34Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.95$76.00
09-13 18:34Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.993$605.73
09-07 22:06Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.995$1.5k
09-07 22:04Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.995$27.74
09-06 20:14Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.98$49.00
09-06 20:14Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.977$97.70
09-06 20:13Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.993$32.67
09-06 20:13Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.992$124.00
09-06 20:12Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.992$36.70
09-03 03:47Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?BUY0.992$2.0k
09-03 03:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$2.0k