PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd8c208fe1b519973ba04da0d28ec06976400105e

0xd8c208fe1b519973ba04da0d28ec06976400105e

Realised P&L
$7.12
Volume
$995.85
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$293.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9880.995$50.13+$0.33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9400.935$42.78$0.23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8800.865$32.01$0.56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8830.840$28.75$1.46
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9910.994$22.46+$0.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes0.8800.982$16.91+$1.75
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9800.984$12.60+$0.04
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9780.982$11.65+$0.04
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026? · No0.9950.990$11.56$0.06
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? · No0.8300.780$11.21$0.72
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? · No0.9590.965$10.17+$0.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8700.855$8.42$0.15
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22? · Yes0.8800.992$7.32+$0.82
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.855$5.85+$0.03
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? · No0.8700.870$5.39+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$23.52
09-21 19:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.89$4.72
09-21 14:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$3.58
09-21 12:59Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.88$32.57
09-20 23:44US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?BUY0.88$6.49
09-20 23:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.88$10.26
09-20 23:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.88$4.90
09-20 22:49Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?SELL0.93$5.72
09-20 22:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.89$27.29
09-20 21:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.88$0.11
09-20 20:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.897271963$21.35
09-20 18:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.9848993506$54.60
09-20 17:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.982$11.28
09-20 17:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.984$3.85
09-20 16:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.9800540176$14.51