WetnReckless
0xd8b7ed83af3c3c61d0a190394f8d6bf0cfbb21dd
- Realised P&L
- $-8.01
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $124.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.53at 0.418Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$48.82at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$17.06at 0.499Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$16.30at 0.551Bruins vs. Lightning
- +$13.26at 0.430US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 00:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 01:22 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.51 |
| 07-20 01:21 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 01:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0989999564 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 01:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 01:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.983 | $21.16 |
| 07-17 01:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 07-01 13:30 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 13:28 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 13:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 01:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 01:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 20:43 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 01:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.979 | $17.24 |
| 05-26 01:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.252 | $4.97 |