goldfinch-cz
0xd7a4f46d4811a8c6f9e71a773eb38bd441588229
- Realised P&L
- $-186.33
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $274.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$296.87at 0.168US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$160.00at 0.200Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$74.07at 0.288US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$56.92at 0.260Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$39.86at 0.751Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 15:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 15:44 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 17:54 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 14:00 | New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 09:16 | New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 23:51 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 16:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 19:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 19:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 19:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 00:39 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 00:39 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 11:04 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.6769999904 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 18:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 16:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $200.00 |