Commonm
0xd768776321066958f7a032652acb5344a26a8e1f
- Realised P&L
- $303.11
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $50.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.929 | 0.970 | $20.87 | +$0.87 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions · LG Twins | 0.548 | 0.744 | $13.34 | +$3.51 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.997 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $3.59 | −$1.41 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.042 | $2.47 | −$2.53 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. New York Mets · New York Yankees | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Wild vs. Predators · Wild | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Senators vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.62 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Pistons | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.73at 0.383Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$56.41at 0.154Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$55.16at 0.569Avalanche vs. Kings
- +$53.78at 0.574Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
- +$53.64at 0.276Pistons vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 16:14 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.26 |
| 08-14 16:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9669999626 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 16:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 16:13 | Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:13 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:13 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 16:12 | Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |