PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Commonm

0xd768776321066958f7a032652acb5344a26a8e1f

Realised P&L
$303.11
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$50.55

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9290.970$20.87+$0.87
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions · LG Twins0.5480.744$13.34+$3.51
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9690.997$10.28+$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2300.165$3.59$1.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0850.042$2.47$2.53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$10.00
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres0.4600.000$0.00$20.00
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets · New York Yankees0.3890.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Wild vs. Predators · Wild0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Senators vs. Islanders · Islanders0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers0.4090.000$0.00$28.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Pistons0.5600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 16:14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.021$1.26
08-14 16:13Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9669999626$20.00
08-14 16:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$20.00
08-14 16:13Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.5699999966$10.00
08-14 16:13Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-14 16:13Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.3699999771$10.00
08-14 16:12Texas Rangers vs. AthleticsBUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-14 16:12Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-14 16:12Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.5299999899$10.00
08-14 16:12New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.5899999947$10.00
08-14 16:12Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsBUY0.4899999814$10.00
08-14 16:12Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.409999991$10.00
08-14 16:12San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-14 16:12Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-14 16:12Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.4699999915$10.00