Twocat
0xd757186b39a7a88d6b9a7065688cec28400794aa
- Realised P&L
- $348.86
- Volume
- $149.1k
- Markets traded
- 773
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded773
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.01at 0.512Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$139.87at 0.452Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
- +$133.03at 0.733Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
- +$120.83at 0.249Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$111.65at 0.860Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:51 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 16:42 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $67.13 |
| 10-31 16:41 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.70 |
| 10-31 16:40 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.99 |
| 10-31 16:36 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 10-31 16:34 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-31 16:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.938 | $18.76 |
| 10-31 16:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 10-31 16:26 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $111.60 |
| 10-31 16:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $166.00 |
| 10-31 16:14 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-31 16:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.74 |
| 10-31 16:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.62 |
| 09-16 13:19 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.85 |
| 07-18 21:55 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.976 | $97.60 |