Twocat
0xd757186b39a7a88d6b9a7065688cec28400794aa
- Realised P&L
- $458.12
- Volume
- $151.0k
- Markets traded
- 764
- Open portfolio
- $672.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded764
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.01at 0.512Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$139.87at 0.452Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
- +$133.03at 0.733Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
- +$120.83at 0.249Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$111.65at 0.860Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 21:55 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.976 | $97.60 |
| 07-18 21:39 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.234 | $24.72 |
| 07-18 21:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.84 |
| 05-23 21:01 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $7.40 |
| 05-23 21:01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $33.64 |
| 05-19 15:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $17.29 |
| 05-19 15:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 22:50 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 22:47 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.94 |
| 05-14 22:47 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999895 | $1.98 |
| 05-14 22:46 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:40 | Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.85 |
| 05-14 22:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 05-14 21:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 04:49 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $5.60 |