Playpool
0xd6280c12247e5ca01e17f1097f25384e6ac7a698
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $404.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,155
- Open portfolio
- $579.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,155
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.92at 0.500US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$235.70at 0.514Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$152.68at 0.890Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$116.55at 0.594Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
- +$112.79at 0.688Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:36 | US recession by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999141 | $1.90 |
| 10-11 18:30 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 18:20 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 18:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 18:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 18:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.16 |
| 10-11 18:12 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.706 | $11.21 |
| 10-11 16:54 | Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:21 | Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 16:21 | Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.995758963 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 15:49 | Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 15:42 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.780999958 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:41 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |