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Traders

ArthurGreen

0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$2.09M
Markets traded
853
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded853
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7070.775$746.33+$65.86
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.255$408.00$8.00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.3300.420$252.00+$54.00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.125$193.26+$49.84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2230.190$188.48$32.37
Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.? · Albon0.6700.498$140.10$48.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$130.00$10.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.175$108.50+$14.50
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No0.1230.135$96.39+$8.71
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? · No0.3810.435$62.20+$7.72
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · Yes0.0900.075$38.25$7.65
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.1370.027$29.70$121.30
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.275$28.88+$0.47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2900.235$22.14$5.18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.015$20.61$11.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.13$24.02
09-17 22:37Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.12$61.68
09-17 21:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$104.00
09-17 21:00NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$312.00
09-17 11:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.33$49.50
09-17 11:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.33$49.50
09-17 11:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.33$99.00
09-17 10:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6696819355$207.60
09-17 04:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.2$80.00
09-16 21:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.26$11.44
09-16 21:35Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.2656352844$70.71
09-16 21:25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.21$106.68
09-16 21:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.64$108.80
09-16 20:24Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?SELL0.31$1.86
09-16 20:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.64$4.48