ArthurGreen
0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Markets traded
- 853
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded853
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$969.92at 0.053Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$643.40at 0.178Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
- +$625.22at 0.071Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
- +$610.40at 0.225Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $24.02 |
| 09-17 22:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $61.68 |
| 09-17 21:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 09-17 21:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $312.00 |
| 09-17 11:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 11:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 11:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $99.00 |
| 09-17 10:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6696819355 | $207.60 |
| 09-17 04:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.26 | $11.44 |
| 09-16 21:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.2656352844 | $70.71 |
| 09-16 21:25 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $106.68 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $108.80 |
| 09-16 20:24 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 09-16 20:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.48 |