PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ArthurGreen

0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45

Realised P&L
$-8.1k
Volume
$1.86M
Markets traded
773
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded773
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:12Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.1$10.00
08-02 18:49US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.019$24.70
08-02 18:47US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.019$9.50
08-02 18:46US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.01699995$44.20
08-02 18:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4240365151$150.00
08-02 13:40Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.6808883606$32.93
08-02 13:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.6512864444$58.62
08-02 12:56Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.3527089071$100.00
08-02 12:47Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.73$438.00
08-02 12:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.48$222.75
08-02 12:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.45$2.08
08-02 12:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.549343259$200.00
08-02 11:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.11$24.20
08-02 10:50 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.74$74.00
08-02 10:48 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.74$148.00