PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4969049ab90Cb058AcCDbBc3b993865b500b576-1762455731879

0xd4969049ab90cb058accdbbc3b993865b500b576

Realised P&L
$-60.52
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$21.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1440.055$9.23$15.00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.2750.130$3.37$3.77
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3100.140$2.26$2.74
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.165$2.25$0.75
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.205$0.85$0.15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.135$0.79$0.21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$0.75$1.25
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3000.205$0.68$0.32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1020.044$0.44$0.56
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes0.2700.070$0.26$0.74
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.2600.055$0.21$0.79
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1300.025$0.20$0.80
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4600.065$0.14$0.86
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · Yes0.2900.034$0.12$0.88
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1200.011$0.10$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 18:31Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2699999518$3.14
07-31 18:29Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-31 17:40Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
07-30 19:54Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-29 22:18Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-27 13:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
07-27 13:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-25 03:17Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-25 03:15Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$1.00
07-18 15:48Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$1.00
07-18 15:40US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
05-14 18:13Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1199999404$1.69
05-14 18:13Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?SELL0.21$0.85
05-14 18:13Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.25$0.86
05-06 12:16Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1399998824$1.00