PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd43f47D08C7e23E86B56CB8984241E49DB7bC66b-1782112487159

0xd43f47d08c7e23e86b56cb8984241e49db7bc66b

Realised P&L
$-33.11
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
910
Open portfolio
$298.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded910
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.8370.815$8.14$0.22
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.9220.930$5.57+$0.05
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9500.955$4.78+$0.03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.955$4.78+$0.03
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? · No0.9400.955$4.78+$0.07
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.955$4.78+$0.03
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.955$4.78+$0.03
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9500.955$4.78+$0.03
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · No0.9380.947$4.73+$0.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$4.72+$0.03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.65$3.25
09-08 07:02Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.83$4.15
09-01 03:48Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.001$0.00
09-01 03:48Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$0.00
09-01 03:48Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?SELL0.05$0.01
09-01 03:48Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?SELL0.03$0.00
09-01 03:48Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.012$0.01
09-01 03:48Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?SELL0.023$0.02
09-01 03:48Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.08$0.05
09-01 03:48Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.05$0.05
09-01 03:48Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.09$0.09
09-01 03:48Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.87$0.10
09-01 03:48GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$0.13
09-01 03:48Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.67$0.15
09-01 03:48Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.91$0.15