0xd43f47D08C7e23E86B56CB8984241E49DB7bC66b-1782112487159
0xd43f47d08c7e23e86b56cb8984241e49db7bc66b
- Realised P&L
- $-33.11
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 910
- Open portfolio
- $298.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded910
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.928Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
- +$1.23at 0.720Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?
- +$1.06at 0.046Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.95at 0.500Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
- +$0.95at 0.787Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-08 07:02 | Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.00 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.01 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.00 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.01 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.02 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.05 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.05 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.09 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.10 |
| 09-01 03:48 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.13 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.15 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.15 |