SleepyS
0xd2f6fc2c1d4c72800f6aa405158779f0f32344be
- Realised P&L
- $910.00
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $726.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$596.75at 0.456Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$530.93at 0.485Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$84.00at 0.160Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
- +$68.80at 0.140Cowboys vs. Commanders
- +$33.50at 0.330Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:00 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 13:00 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-13 13:04 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-26 13:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 07-26 13:51 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 07-23 14:33 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-23 14:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.917 | $183.40 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.875 | $175.00 |
| 07-22 13:18 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 07-22 13:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-19 13:38 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $44.00 |
| 07-18 16:12 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 16:04 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.198 | $19.80 |
| 07-18 15:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |