PolyBot

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Traders

Peasantfarmer

0xd211a0bb544d025ed955c5e02bbbf65662dc6eaa

Realised P&L
$-340.02
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$348.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:24Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?SELL0.012$0.33
09-16 18:04Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.013$0.70
09-15 18:06Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.002$0.07
09-15 00:34Vanta IPO before 2027?SELL0.013$0.29
09-13 11:42Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.005$0.27
09-12 08:50Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.0014859594$0.08
09-08 11:20Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.01$0.43
09-07 23:56Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?SELL0.005$0.07
09-06 19:02Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.011$0.48
09-03 16:03Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.009$0.23
09-03 08:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.016$0.91
08-29 12:48Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.007$0.30
08-29 01:27Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?SELL0.062$0.70
08-28 13:19Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?SELL0.33$2.87
08-27 18:42Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.006$0.22