Peasantfarmer
0xd211a0bb544d025ed955c5e02bbbf65662dc6eaa
- Realised P&L
- $-287.67
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $533.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.73at 0.180Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
- +$26.31at 0.176Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$24.60at 0.145Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
- +$21.32at 0.190Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$20.59at 0.170Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.39 |
| 07-20 12:00 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.44 |
| 07-19 15:17 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.45 |
| 07-15 20:47 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.38 |
| 07-15 20:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.459 | $12.75 |
| 07-15 20:17 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.339 | $15.07 |
| 07-14 20:43 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.85 |
| 07-14 20:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.49 | $29.79 |
| 07-13 15:51 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.04 |
| 07-09 23:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.294199916 | $14.01 |
| 07-09 06:36 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.10 |
| 07-08 12:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $34.65 |
| 07-06 20:53 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.28 |
| 07-06 07:52 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.57 |
| 07-06 01:33 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.57 | $13.62 |