PolyBot

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Traders

Jayjay8899

0xcfbc2e27b51b4ed8af052ab4a225b3757bf056f3

Realised P&L
$13.98
Volume
$494.41
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$165.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.900$46.53+$1.53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6000.815$40.75+$10.75
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8650.945$27.31+$2.31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9340.954$25.51+$0.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8800.935$15.94+$0.94
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8800.945$9.45+$0.65
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$8.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 01:49Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8585365812$20.00
06-12 01:48Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.7$35.00
06-07 01:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9339999978$15.00
06-07 01:39Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.8799999625$15.00
06-07 01:37Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8649246204$25.00
06-07 01:34Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8799999986$25.00
06-07 01:33Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9349999963$10.00
03-04 01:42New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.86$86.00
02-15 22:15US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.87$8.70
02-02 15:03Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.6$60.00
02-02 14:55New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.85$85.00