Jayjay8899
0xcfbc2e27b51b4ed8af052ab4a225b3757bf056f3
- Realised P&L
- $13.98
- Volume
- $494.41
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $165.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.900 | $46.53 | +$1.53 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes | 0.600 | 0.815 | $40.75 | +$10.75 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.865 | 0.945 | $27.31 | +$2.31 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.934 | 0.954 | $25.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $15.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.945 | $9.45 | +$0.65 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.850New pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 01:49 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8585365812 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 01:48 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 06-07 01:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9339999978 | $15.00 |
| 06-07 01:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999625 | $15.00 |
| 06-07 01:37 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8649246204 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 01:34 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 01:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999963 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 01:42 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 02-15 22:15 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 02-02 15:03 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 02-02 14:55 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |