PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vlsuz

0xcf90a66d31b4b7e7ba39ad3e09557c268af54b43

Realised P&L
$-179.10
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$67.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6940.701$12.11+$0.11
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · Yes0.5930.530$8.94$1.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.215$7.41$2.59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.545$6.81+$1.81
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.021$5.39+$0.39
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3200.155$4.84$5.16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2690.214$3.99$1.01
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1890.120$3.18$1.82
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.023$2.88$7.13
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3100.155$2.50$2.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.145$2.34$2.66
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.105$2.19$2.81
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0850.035$2.08$2.92
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.2300.075$1.63$3.37
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.3700.026$0.70$9.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 17:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6939999936$12.00
07-22 17:58Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2689999693$5.00
07-09 22:05Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.3350000142$8.00
07-06 20:23Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-06 20:23Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2$5.00
06-28 09:07Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
06-28 09:06South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4699999887$5.00
06-28 09:06South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5BUY0.449999955$5.00
06-27 08:51Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.3099999542$3.93
06-27 08:51Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.32$5.00
06-25 12:26Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-25 12:26Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-25 12:26Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)BUY0.3299999591$5.00
06-25 12:26Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)BUY0.4299999931$10.00
06-25 12:26Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5BUY0.4099999836$5.00