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Traders

timoha91

0xced4b6e645123fd55e1147bede9911f23901d1dd

Realised P&L
$234.01
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.975$560.06+$60.06
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9100.945$415.38+$15.38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.970$317.40+$17.40
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.9780.979$200.20+$0.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9780.975$198.37−$0.63
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9400.925$196.81−$3.19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9400.935$149.20−$0.80
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9300.925$149.19−$0.81
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.940$148.63−$1.37
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.9410.959$142.60+$2.60
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7300.953$130.48+$30.48
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.967$114.62+$1.62
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.961$114.35+$14.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.950$113.04+$13.04
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8800.965$109.66+$9.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 06:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9775728644$199.00
10-16 05:39Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.9668339976$100.00
10-15 19:29Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9779999976$200.00
10-15 19:24Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9399999946$150.00
10-15 17:41Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.9299999999$150.00
10-15 12:55Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9509049088$50.00
10-15 06:25Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.952$100.00
10-15 06:19China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9486598598$150.00
10-12 11:21Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9544262814$63.00
10-12 11:18Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.977$61.83
10-10 20:36Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.9410339585$140.00
10-10 20:32Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.9499999991$100.00
10-10 20:30Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9459999996$100.00
10-03 12:30Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.9399999976$200.00
09-24 14:28Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7607572719$80.00