timoha91
0xced4b6e645123fd55e1147bede9911f23901d1dd
- Realised P&L
- $234.01
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.51at 0.749NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$41.21at 0.829Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$16.28at 0.860Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$15.79at 0.760Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$13.22at 0.938Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 06:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9775728644 | $199.00 |
| 10-16 05:39 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.9668339976 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 19:29 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999976 | $200.00 |
| 10-15 19:24 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999946 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 17:41 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 12:55 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9509049088 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 06:25 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.952 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 06:19 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9486598598 | $150.00 |
| 10-12 11:21 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9544262814 | $63.00 |
| 10-12 11:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $61.83 |
| 10-10 20:36 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.9410339585 | $140.00 |
| 10-10 20:32 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 20:30 | Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 12:30 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $200.00 |
| 09-24 14:28 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7607572719 | $80.00 |