crvlo
0xce26732e876c0c349c6c42172d7f8cb99ccbf3e8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $260.6k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $274.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.316Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.597Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
- +$479.41at 0.667Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?
- +$456.51at 0.637Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?
- +$431.73at 0.785Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:51 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0993256071 | $48.59 |
| 10-15 04:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0427688617 | $16.94 |
| 10-15 04:45 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.05 |
| 10-14 15:23 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.3128802715 | $194.53 |
| 10-14 15:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.321675229 | $200.00 |
| 10-13 19:39 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.5k |
| 10-13 19:37 | Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | SELL | 0.22 | $15.89 |
| 10-13 19:00 | Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999994 | $10.11 |
| 10-13 18:59 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.4k |
| 10-12 01:19 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1010842065 | $14.51 |
| 10-11 19:31 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1959999964 | $1.32 |
| 10-11 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3001447152 | $356.97 |
| 10-11 19:29 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2366527446 | $1000.00 |
| 10-11 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1457605942 | $134.42 |
| 10-11 19:03 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379939512 | $53.83 |