Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-13
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.058. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.001 to 0.494. 133 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.058	900	900
0.059	200	1,100
0.060	250	1,350
0.061	582	1,932
0.062	16	1,948
0.064	381	2,329
0.065	138	2,467
0.066	50	2,517
0.075	100	2,617
0.076	100	2,717
0.100	100	2,817
0.130	100	2,917

Spread0.001Mid0.058

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.057	116	116
0.054	134	250
0.053	200	450
0.052	200	650
0.051	250	900
0.050	213	1,113
0.049	70	1,183
0.048	520	1,703
0.047	50	1,753
0.042	25	1,778
0.041	239	2,017
0.040	1,000	3,017

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.943	116	116
0.946	134	250
0.947	200	450
0.948	200	650
0.949	250	900
0.950	213	1,113
0.951	70	1,183
0.952	520	1,703
0.953	50	1,753
0.958	25	1,778
0.959	239	2,017
0.960	1,000	3,017

Spread0.001Mid0.942

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.942	900	900
0.941	200	1,100
0.940	250	1,350
0.939	582	1,932
0.938	16	1,948
0.936	381	2,329
0.935	138	2,467
0.934	50	2,517
0.925	100	2,617
0.924	100	2,717
0.900	100	2,817
0.870	100	2,917

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
smalltimezzz	Yes	8,201.42
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	6,555
ChunkyMonky	Yes	5,000
Bitgod	Yes	4,701.85
LinaBell🦊	Yes	4,000
Rizh	Yes	3,000
LuckyMANNN	Yes	2,504.65
Poiuztrewq	Yes	2,500
Fablurou	Yes	2,209.99
cool.guide	Yes	2,000
ComradeCat	Yes	1,941.95
bipbipbop	Yes	1,921.45
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	1,790.43
ihrekunst	Yes	1,500
sjoerdvdmack	Yes	1,191.89
hoomanlover	Yes	1,098.07
sqsb	Yes	1,034.36
aEpTcH7MFw	Yes	1,000
LordYeah	Yes	1,000
hirichzhou	Yes	784.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:10:56	SELL	Yes	0.054	800	$43.20
14:03:54	BUY	Yes	0.059	79	$4.63
14:03:47	BUY	Yes	0.057	16	$0.91
14:03:42	BUY	Yes	0.056	7	$0.38
14:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.05	260	$12.98
14:00:41	BUY	Yes	0.05	134	$6.68
14:00:39	BUY	Yes	0.05	500	$25.00
14:00:39	BUY	Yes	0.05	250	$12.50
13:52:05	BUY	Yes	0.049	92	$4.52
13:52:05	BUY	Yes	0.049	50	$2.45
13:50:09	BUY	No	0.9519999984	15	$13.85
13:47:39	SELL	Yes	0.048	50	$2.40
13:47:36	SELL	Yes	0.048	70	$3.36
13:47:35	SELL	Yes	0.048	70	$3.36
13:25:42	BUY	Yes	0.04	10	$0.40
13:19:26	BUY	Yes	0.039	5	$0.20
13:05:24	BUY	Yes	0.038	421	$16.00
12:36:03	BUY	No	0.9729999937	2	$2.00
11:55:30	SELL	Yes	0.027	4	$0.10
11:48:09	SELL	Yes	0.028	59	$1.66
11:48:00	SELL	Yes	0.028	100	$2.80
11:47:54	SELL	Yes	0.028	100	$2.80
11:47:48	SELL	Yes	0.028	100	$2.80
11:47:39	SELL	Yes	0.028	100	$2.80
11:47:35	SELL	Yes	0.028	100	$2.80