0xce1495F7173a5CeF9F285B37c840D1717Ffd41b0-1760643928268
0xce1495f7173a5cef9f285b37c840d1717ffd41b0
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $32.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$816.43at 0.477US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$470.77at 0.320Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$436.62at 0.351US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$179.98at 0.283Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$123.24at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:29 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3168316832 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 19:28 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 08:29 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 08:26 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 08:21 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.1415094313 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:40 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 15:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 19:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 19:26 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 17:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 17:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 17:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |