PolyBot

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Traders

0xce1495F7173a5CeF9F285B37c840D1717Ffd41b0-1760643928268

0xce1495f7173a5cef9f285b37c840d1717ffd41b0

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$32.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$6.11$3.89
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1200.115$4.79$0.21
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) · Yes0.1410.130$4.59$0.41
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3170.280$4.42$0.58
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.8500.310$3.65$6.35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5150.145$2.82$7.19
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.205$1.95$0.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2100.185$1.76$0.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7400.800$1.08+$0.08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0910.023$0.75$2.25
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1400.055$0.39$0.61
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$3.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.4260.000$0.00$5.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:29Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3168316832$5.00
09-20 19:28US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
09-20 08:29Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-20 08:26Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-20 08:21Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.1415094313$5.00
09-06 15:40Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
09-06 15:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$5.00
09-06 15:37Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
09-05 19:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.74$1.00
09-05 19:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
09-05 19:26Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
09-05 19:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-24 17:13Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-24 17:13Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-24 17:13Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?BUY0.52$1.00