PolyBot

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Traders

bobbymontana

0xcdc0f64c8de7c3c5ab2a49ff4af4162cee5adcd8

Realised P&L
$10.3k
Volume
$2.42M
Markets traded
390
Open portfolio
$21.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded390
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4320.512$3.6k+$561.80
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8450.895$2.7k+$150.74
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8000.739$2.3k$195.21
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3130.300$2.0k$84.27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5030.595$1.2k+$183.34
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6920.545$1.2k$316.59
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6830.680$1.0k$5.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4490.370$941.24$200.02
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8700.932$920.99+$61.27
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.8070.777$776.99$30.00
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6710.735$701.59+$61.05
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.5980.610$628.30+$12.40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3450.305$610.00$80.00
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9170.976$588.53+$35.33
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8200.860$430.00+$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 03:36Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.44$122.32
06-30 03:55Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.63$15.75
06-26 03:21Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?BUY0.43$58.05
06-26 03:06Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?BUY0.14$10.36
06-26 02:53Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL0.66$19.80
06-26 02:49Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.11$10.56
06-26 02:48Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?BUY0.14$12.88
06-26 02:47Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.15$6.45
06-26 02:45Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.67$150.75
06-25 15:24Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?BUY0.66$49.50
06-25 15:21Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$162.00
06-25 15:19Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5BUY0.66$259.38
06-25 15:17Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)BUY0.66$178.20
06-23 03:24Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?BUY0.17$51.00
06-22 14:52Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?SELL0.9$45.00