Kevindoto
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
- Realised P&L
- $563.1k
- Volume
- $17.31M
- Markets traded
- 684
- Open portfolio
- $491.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded684
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.4kat 0.732US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.5kat 0.491US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
- +$54.0kat 0.836MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$50.0kat 0.426Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$39.6kat 0.642Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 01:23 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979711544 | $4.1k |
| 10-07 13:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.849 | $7.6k |
| 10-05 11:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.1k |
| 09-29 22:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $165.20 |
| 09-29 20:02 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $720.05 |
| 09-29 18:58 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $61.42 |
| 09-28 20:13 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.8576495441 | $3.1k |
| 09-28 19:26 | Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.987 | $5.33 |
| 09-27 20:01 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $27.60 |
| 09-27 19:50 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $29.10 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $30.60 |
| 09-27 19:47 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $32.10 |
| 09-27 19:47 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $33.90 |
| 09-27 19:47 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $17.70 |
| 09-27 19:47 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $17.70 |