Kevindoto
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
- Realised P&L
- $619.9k
- Volume
- $17.13M
- Markets traded
- 665
- Open portfolio
- $479.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded665
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.4kat 0.732US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.5kat 0.491US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
- +$54.0kat 0.836MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$50.0kat 0.426Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$39.6kat 0.642Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 15:54 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $682.45 |
| 09-10 16:35 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $2.1k |
| 09-05 13:04 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9476645221 | $38.7k |
| 09-05 13:02 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $7.53 |
| 09-05 13:02 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9391778315 | $8.9k |
| 09-01 19:31 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9984983389 | $30.05 |
| 09-01 19:31 | Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $87.12 |
| 09-01 19:30 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.82 |
| 09-01 19:29 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9891317397 | $518.07 |
| 09-01 16:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $76.04 |
| 09-01 16:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $15.2k |
| 09-01 13:24 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9518581626 | $3.7k |
| 08-31 16:56 | Will "Facing El Chapo" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.68 |
| 08-31 12:05 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.8222004937 | $93.25 |
| 08-30 22:34 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.6k |