Kevindoto
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
- Realised P&L
- $602.7k
- Volume
- $16.76M
- Markets traded
- 646
- Open portfolio
- $451.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded646
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.4kat 0.732US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.5kat 0.491US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
- +$54.4kat 0.836MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$50.0kat 0.426Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$39.6kat 0.642Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:18 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $121.36 |
| 08-01 14:17 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $264.76 |
| 07-31 19:13 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.5998851461 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 18:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6972555551 | $2.2k |
| 07-31 17:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.0k |
| 07-31 17:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.9k |
| 07-31 17:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.6k |
| 07-31 17:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6472642536 | $1.9k |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.42 | $336.67 |
| 07-30 22:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.3k |
| 07-30 21:55 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.9497983183 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 21:53 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $890.78 |
| 07-30 21:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.71 |
| 07-30 21:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.6k |