PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

whattthesigma

0xcbcbe8f3896adf1a77bca7cce576802fb8559497

Realised P&L
$21.07
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
750
Open portfolio
$48.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded750
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill · Jay Clarke0.4501.000$11.11+$6.11
Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery · Calvin Hemery0.4600.500$5.43+$0.43
Will NK Slaven Belupo win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.4700.475$5.05+$0.05
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9680.972$5.02+$0.02
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers · SSG Landers0.6400.455$3.55$1.45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.455$3.14$2.86
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2430.210$2.60$0.40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2500.382$1.53+$0.53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3420.512$1.50+$0.50
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.5500.745$1.35+$0.35
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.195$1.30+$0.30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9440.958$1.01+$0.01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$0.89$0.11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.515$0.84$0.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.125$0.83$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 13:56Will NK Slaven Belupo win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-18 13:54Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BBUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-18 13:53Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement ChidekhBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-18 13:51Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix GillBUY0.449999964$5.00
09-15 20:38Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana SierraBUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-15 20:32Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela CeBUY0.2689999941$5.00
09-15 20:31Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina CharaevaBUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-12 14:46Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
09-12 14:43Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-12 14:41Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-12 14:39Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alicia Herrero LinanaBUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-10 14:17Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas NeumayerBUY0.2799999978$5.00
09-07 14:17Cassis: Gijs Brouwer vs Matteo MartineauBUY0.7099999702$5.00
09-07 14:16Tulln: Marko Topo vs Daniel GalanBUY0.2899999478$3.00
09-07 14:16Montreux: Nuria Brancaccio vs Francesca CurmiBUY0.4599999595$5.00