0xcBc4217eE3e970D79f96d5142F84cd8E72A86070-1781884529402
0xcbc4217ee3e970d79f96d5142f84cd8e72a86070
- Realised P&L
- $20.76
- Volume
- $221.90
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $37.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.06at 0.366Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$3.37at 0.602Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$3.10at 0.622Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?
- +$1.76at 0.447Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?
- +$1.73at 0.376Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.59 | $8.23 |
| 09-30 00:24 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.999 | $6.16 |
| 09-29 21:59 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:50 | Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:38 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:32 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 20:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 20:38 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 19:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0263539333 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |