justme003
0xcb894d56b6ed7f458e8534636a086b65e915a2e8
- Realised P&L
- $-15.9k
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $186.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.801Megaquake by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.909Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.866MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.948Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.923Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:14 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $20.55 |
| 09-16 22:11 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $916.42 |
| 09-16 18:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.5k |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 08:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $472.21 |
| 09-15 21:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 09-15 20:59 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $750.00 |
| 09-15 20:58 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $750.00 |
| 09-15 19:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.8k |
| 09-15 19:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.8k |
| 09-15 19:18 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $163.16 |
| 09-15 16:10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.9908301517 | $565.74 |
| 09-15 13:56 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $268.75 |
| 09-15 11:15 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $259.30 |