PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

justme003

0xcb894d56b6ed7f458e8534636a086b65e915a2e8

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$2.91M
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$186.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6810.815$22.3k+$3.6k
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7870.915$19.1k+$2.7k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8710.948$17.4k+$1.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7570.935$10.3k+$2.0k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8900.885$7.9k$44.38
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8530.925$6.8k+$526.44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7950.945$6.7k+$1.1k
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9780.997$6.4k+$119.89
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9810.989$6.1k+$45.90
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9820.991$5.9k+$48.21
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8470.895$5.8k+$308.24
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.8480.845$5.5k$19.96
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8630.935$5.4k+$420.72
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9740.984$4.9k+$47.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8330.830$4.6k$18.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:14Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.84$20.55
09-16 22:11US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.89$916.42
09-16 18:44Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.75$4.50
09-16 18:42Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.985$2.5k
09-16 18:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$2.0k
09-16 08:20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$472.21
09-15 21:04US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.82$32.80
09-15 20:59US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.75$750.00
09-15 20:58US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.75$750.00
09-15 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$2.8k
09-15 19:29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$2.8k
09-15 19:18Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY0.91$163.16
09-15 16:10Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.9908301517$565.74
09-15 13:56Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.86$268.75
09-15 11:15Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.85$259.30