PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

justme003

0xcb894d56b6ed7f458e8534636a086b65e915a2e8

Realised P&L
$-30.6k
Volume
$3.74M
Markets traded
446
Open portfolio
$202.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded446
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9320.945$28.4k+$392.02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7880.940$19.7k+$3.2k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7000.815$17.6k+$2.5k
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1? · No0.9740.986$11.9k+$148.71
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1? · No0.9420.910$8.1k−$281.35
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.8540.930$7.6k+$623.80
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8680.865$7.4k−$27.47
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8940.865$7.1k−$237.00
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8560.945$6.9k+$652.57
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8530.945$6.9k+$672.52
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.9470.990$5.7k+$244.12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7040.705$5.6k+$10.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8630.945$5.5k+$478.87
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.885$5.4k−$33.98
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8330.863$4.8k+$164.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:53Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9269465649$121.43
11-01 11:05Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$8.1k
11-01 11:04Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.73$1.5k
11-01 10:36Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?BUY0.96$4.2k
11-01 10:19Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9491979624$5.1k
11-01 08:59Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.988$1.6k
10-31 22:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9698317152$599.36
10-31 21:14Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.968$1.6k
10-31 21:14Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.968$1.6k
10-31 19:25Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?SELL0.16$672.57
10-31 19:20Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.9$1.1k
10-31 19:17Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.998$2.0k
10-31 19:11Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.88$342.57
10-31 17:34Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.971$204.88
10-31 14:48Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9690882353$1.7k