PolyBot

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Traders

stuartTrade

0xcb0ebe46a1df0d2fed046f28efcc15169b7c219d

Realised P&L
$-73.12
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$152.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:36Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.96$4.80
09-14 12:35US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-14 11:02Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.969999996$4.84
09-14 09:48Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.968$4.84
09-14 09:44Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$4.70
09-11 19:38Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.8499999799$4.22
09-11 11:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.965$4.82
09-11 10:51Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.68$3.40
09-10 16:43Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.06$0.60
09-10 16:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.016$1.42
09-10 16:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.016$1.00
09-10 00:23US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?BUY0.149999994$2.51
09-09 22:21Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.92$4.58
09-09 20:26Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9829999995$7.67
09-09 05:44Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999685$20.23