stuartTrade
0xcb0ebe46a1df0d2fed046f28efcc15169b7c219d
- Realised P&L
- $-73.12
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $152.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.34at 0.226Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.57at 0.502Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
- +$17.85at 0.459Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$16.59at 0.417France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$14.38at 0.510Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:36 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-14 12:35 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:02 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.969999996 | $4.84 |
| 09-14 09:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.84 |
| 09-14 09:44 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-11 19:38 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.8499999799 | $4.22 |
| 09-11 11:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.82 |
| 09-11 10:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-10 16:43 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-10 16:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.42 |
| 09-10 16:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:23 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $2.51 |
| 09-09 22:21 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.58 |
| 09-09 20:26 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999995 | $7.67 |
| 09-09 05:44 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999685 | $20.23 |