PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

danielbrod

0xca76370f537b164859fce4979ce4eff374c3d365

Realised P&L
$-418.29
Volume
$78.7k
Markets traded
1,255
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,255
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6600.845$845.00+$185.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes0.9400.944$472.00+$2.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.905$452.50−$2.50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.635$317.50−$7.50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.7300.735$297.72+$2.03
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.9000.775$186.00−$30.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9400.915$183.00−$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.155$155.00−$445.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.135$27.00−$55.00
ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Vuk Radjenovic vs Ognjen Milic · Ognjen Milic0.8690.000$0.00−$41.76
ITF Fano: Iiro Vasa vs Filip Jeff Planinsek · Filip Jeff Planinsek0.8700.000$0.00−$41.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:37Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$455.00
10-08 08:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.73$138.36
10-08 08:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.94$470.00
09-26 17:17US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.9299999999$299.00
09-26 17:17US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.997$299.10
09-26 17:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.9299999998$300.00
09-26 17:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.998$299.40
09-26 04:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8899999999$371.00
09-23 09:33Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.99$186.12
09-23 09:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.991$199.19
09-23 09:20Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.991$205.14
09-23 09:20Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.991$593.61
09-23 09:11Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.41$82.00
09-23 06:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$269.99
09-22 08:40Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.65$325.00