PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xca08d6c4f044ff2d751d30abe51479c50026c267

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$210.4k
Markets traded
1,189
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,189
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4600.430$148.11$10.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6910.765$109.43+$10.54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9040.925$100.45+$2.23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9180.875$91.07$4.53
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.783$67.41+$12.43
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.3210.345$58.76+$4.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3600.465$50.17+$11.32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.205$45.37$9.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.6201.000$43.04+$16.34
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8740.905$37.87+$1.31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4410.415$35.62$2.23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.445$35.46+$0.40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6360.680$34.29+$2.22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2700.278$34.09+$0.94
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.8800.945$32.23+$2.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:24Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.91$3.04
08-03 00:24Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.89$0.53
08-03 00:23Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.87$0.64
08-03 00:23Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.87$0.02
08-03 00:23Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.87$0.04
08-02 22:42Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.8699999752$15.77
08-02 22:37Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.87$2.61
08-02 22:05Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.62$2.50
08-02 21:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8699999981$27.76
08-02 21:52Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8089999973$4.47
08-02 21:52UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.3399999919$16.84
08-02 21:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$5.10
08-02 21:49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$2.77
08-02 21:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999802$7.51
08-02 21:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.69$4.20