0xca08d6c4f044ff2d751d30abe51479c50026c267
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $225.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,338
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,338
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.00at 0.813Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
- +$217.77at 0.218Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$151.93at 0.902LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
- +$93.66at 0.229Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
- +$84.92at 0.288Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 21:44 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.769999929 | $1.41 |
| 09-17 21:44 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999759 | $2.24 |
| 09-17 21:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999977 | $3.16 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999355 | $1.28 |
| 09-17 19:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 18:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $20.88 |
| 09-17 18:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.32 |
| 09-17 18:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.31 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.38 |
| 09-17 17:11 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 17:11 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 17:11 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.05 |