dsvvs
0xc9c38147dba35a5c5295e75d44d9c25ac9e1013c
- Realised P&L
- $-21.13
- Volume
- $70.6k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $37.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.027Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.45at 0.819Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.37at 0.829Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.20at 0.008Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.16at 0.633Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 07:39 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:01 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 12:00 | Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:00 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:00 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:59 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |