PolyBot

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Traders

Kageyo

0xc997fbf8dbb17b71489a0802cd06add7db505184

Realised P&L
$-323.93
Volume
$51.8k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$265.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1510.895$118.08+$98.08
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.3350.985$58.81+$38.81
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5220.705$33.78+$8.78
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2620.203$7.77−$2.23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3960.591$7.46+$2.46
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0380.050$6.58+$1.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2700.154$5.72−$4.28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.017$4.58−$0.42
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2570.033$2.52−$17.48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.017$2.36−$17.64
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.019$2.35−$7.65
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2790.129$2.31−$2.69
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · Yes0.1440.065$2.25−$2.75
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1500.048$1.60−$3.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$1.43−$3.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 14:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3960513828$5.00
09-02 14:332026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5099999786$10.00
09-02 14:33Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
09-02 14:32Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?BUY0.002$2.00
04-12 11:37Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.16$5.00
04-12 11:37Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
04-12 11:34Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
04-12 11:31Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.0491262407$10.00
04-12 11:27Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?BUY0.16$5.00
04-12 11:27Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?BUY0.0869000042$5.00
04-12 11:232026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999982$15.00
04-12 11:22Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.0643656599$4.63
04-12 11:22Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.2269999723$4.69
04-12 11:22Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.2399999674$4.70
04-12 11:21Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.03266266$4.61