PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc926C871Af7A71e44D8865725606a392f7fc7767-1775372544650

0xc926c871af7a71e44d8865725606a392f7fc7767

Realised P&L
$-3.50
Volume
$902.99
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$9.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0100.018$3.50+$1.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2550.331$2.60+$0.60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3510.290$1.65−$0.35
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? · Yes0.9100.465$1.02−$0.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.155$0.47−$0.53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1700.042$0.24−$0.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.4300.013$0.09−$2.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$0.75
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26? · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:15Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?BUY0.91$2.00
09-28 09:08Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.2549999758$2.00
09-22 10:15Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
09-14 11:54Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-14 06:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
09-10 10:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-07 14:07Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
09-03 12:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.3861385947$5.00
07-29 15:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
07-28 08:00Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.74$1.00
07-28 08:00Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.7$1.00
07-28 08:00Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.261999868$1.00
07-19 15:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-19 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-19 15:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.408$1.14