0xc8cb50325c42a6be4402e389005153c9ddcfd1d3
0xc8cb50325c42a6be4402e389005153c9ddcfd1d3
- Realised P&L
- $-96.70
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $24.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.27at 0.155Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?
- +$9.28at 0.092Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$7.58at 0.207Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by April 30, 2026?
- +$5.45at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.09at 0.164Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:47 | Will Spain be removed as a host nation of the 2030 World Cup? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:45 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 12:32 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949999596 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 10:38 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BUY | 0.0310000005 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 10:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 10:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 08:10 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 19:20 | Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 05-01 19:20 | US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 04-28 19:35 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 04-28 19:35 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 17:05 | Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 04-27 14:23 | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 00:19 | Will Trump say "Podcast" or "TikTok" during WHCA Dinner events? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $1.88 |