0xc80D8Af400375655871d07be717182Ea122c541E-1775093209013
0xc80d8af400375655871d07be717182ea122c541e
- Realised P&L
- $-27.68
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $12.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.78at 0.180Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$8.26at 0.090Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.36at 0.440Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.270Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$2.45at 0.670Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:17 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 21:14 | Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 21:12 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 21:09 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 11:43 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.93 |
| 05-08 23:30 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.89 |
| 05-08 20:07 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 05-07 11:27 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.80 |
| 05-07 11:26 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.84 |
| 05-02 01:08 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 05-02 01:07 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 01:07 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 01:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 01:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 01:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |