Gunnyyag8
0xc74329dbaa9cbf2055d9bb44961af77e5eaa44d8
- Realised P&L
- $-411.67
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $336.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.403Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$541.67at 0.480Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$340.74at 0.540Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
- +$220.15at 0.312Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
- +$159.12at 0.384Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 14:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.082999986 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 14:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 08:55 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 08:52 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 11:49 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 11:49 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.6899999987 | $60.00 |
| 06-04 11:47 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0714386228 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 11:46 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7749999922 | $20.00 |
| 06-04 11:45 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 11:45 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.844 | $123.51 |
| 06-03 08:16 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 08:15 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 08:15 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8489999968 | $30.00 |
| 06-03 08:14 | Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0535416591 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 08:12 | Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0576171882 | $5.00 |