PolyBot

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Traders

trx1

0xc6a2910714d2febe8730f8386277641f7c1fc9b7

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$2.07M
Markets traded
581
Open portfolio
$40.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded581
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7640.750$6.0k−$112.14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7100.715$5.0k+$35.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9400.945$4.7k+$25.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.8750.999$3.9k+$485.22
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.945$2.7k+$150.59
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9600.967$1.9k+$13.00
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6070.700$1.7k+$231.53
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8350.885$1.7k+$95.02
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · No0.6880.775$997.16+$111.32
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.9160.877$871.78−$38.45
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8860.815$814.96−$71.13
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.8880.915$742.93+$22.04
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? · No0.9050.895$707.42−$8.08
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? · No0.6740.720$551.01+$35.01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.3010.315$496.77+$21.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:13Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0660448388$30.96
11-02 06:10Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.94$222.78
11-02 06:09Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.0329911682$39.19
11-01 23:34Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 1?BUY0.9949829094$218.90
11-01 23:31Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.9055521472$250.93
11-01 23:29Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?SELL0.84$109.20
11-01 23:26Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?BUY0.013$0.36
11-01 23:23Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?BUY0.1479622642$78.42
11-01 23:18Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 1?BUY0.991$230.90
11-01 23:13Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?BUY0.26$31.82
11-01 23:13Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?BUY0.2599999996$71.40
11-01 23:10Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.9156762363$1.7k
11-01 23:07Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.004499875$0.18
11-01 22:52Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.8788398088$477.96
11-01 22:48Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0687109893$110.33