trx1
0xc6a2910714d2febe8730f8386277641f7c1fc9b7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $2.07M
- Markets traded
- 581
- Open portfolio
- $40.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded581
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.243Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
- +$2.8kat 0.297Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?
- +$2.7kat 0.539Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?
- +$2.6kat 0.672Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
- +$2.2kat 0.201Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:13 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0660448388 | $30.96 |
| 11-02 06:10 | Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $222.78 |
| 11-02 06:09 | Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.0329911682 | $39.19 |
| 11-01 23:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.9949829094 | $218.90 |
| 11-01 23:31 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.9055521472 | $250.93 |
| 11-01 23:29 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? | SELL | 0.84 | $109.20 |
| 11-01 23:26 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.36 |
| 11-01 23:23 | Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | BUY | 0.1479622642 | $78.42 |
| 11-01 23:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.991 | $230.90 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.26 | $31.82 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $71.40 |
| 11-01 23:10 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.9156762363 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 23:07 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.004499875 | $0.18 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.8788398088 | $477.96 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0687109893 | $110.33 |