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Traders

0xc64426660e7D8701377B9d8329fBf28fe8c6A714-1773856029351

0xc64426660e7d8701377b9d8329fbf28fe8c6a714

Realised P&L
$0.26
Volume
$418.36
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$7.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5700.555$2.92$0.08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.935$1.20+$0.20
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.945$1.06+$0.06
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.8100.650$0.80$0.20
António Guterres out by December 31? · Yes0.3500.260$0.74$0.26
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0380.011$0.30$0.70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5400.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? · No0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? · No0.4300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 22:29Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?SELL0.04$1.14
07-14 22:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$3.38
06-18 21:59Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.128$1.15
06-18 21:59Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.021$1.11
06-17 20:22Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.974$1.08
06-17 20:21Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?SELL0.987$1.09
06-17 20:21Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.833$2.10
06-17 20:20Will Walmart acquire TikTok?SELL0.984$2.12
06-17 20:20Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL0.95$2.28
06-16 23:46Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.65$1.00
06-16 23:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
06-16 23:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.67$2.16
06-02 05:15Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.429999828$1.00
06-02 05:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-26 13:01Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.23$0.28
Trader 0xc64426660e7D8701377B9d8329fBf28fe8c6A714-1773856029351 · PolyBot Pro