PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Krausomat

0xc625103b75bdb2dd1b3e49be0bc6f018e385f8dc

Realised P&L
$46.22
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$231.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 14:16European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$50.00
10-13 14:11Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
10-13 14:10Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.7599999848$20.00
10-13 14:08Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
10-13 14:05Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.9266696641$50.00
10-13 14:04Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.8238213329$20.00
10-13 14:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999933$20.00
09-02 07:55Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.299999982$10.00
08-29 13:42Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
08-29 13:38Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-29 13:35Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.86$10.00
08-29 13:17Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
07-15 20:07Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.225$6.46
07-06 20:51Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.0150943396$1.00
07-06 20:51Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.75$2.00