Krausomat
0xc625103b75bdb2dd1b3e49be0bc6f018e385f8dc
- Realised P&L
- $46.22
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $231.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.45at 0.510US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$56.90at 0.190Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$17.35at 0.761Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.41at 0.490Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
- +$9.27at 0.522Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:16 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 14:11 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 14:10 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 14:08 | Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 14:05 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.9266696641 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 14:04 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8238213329 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 14:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $20.00 |
| 09-02 07:55 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 13:42 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 13:38 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 13:35 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 13:17 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 20:07 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.225 | $6.46 |
| 07-06 20:51 | Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0150943396 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 20:51 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |