0xc5e77c27855adB2025411aa4dFaFC16F8d82C727-1739833326729
0xc5e77c27855adb2025411aa4dfafc16f8d82c727
- Realised P&L
- $-139.68
- Volume
- $65.3k
- Markets traded
- 867
- Open portfolio
- $111.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded867
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.25at 0.902Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?
- +$149.44at 0.118Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$70.63at 0.527Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
- +$61.02at 0.591Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
- +$57.09at 0.576Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.33 |
| 08-04 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.405 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-03 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-03 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.869 | $8.69 |